1. Market Overview
Despite strong institutional adoption and overall bullish developments, it feels like we are in the middle of a bear market. A major factor contributing to this stagnation is the wave of market disruptions over the past few weeks🤔
Most recently, on Friday, the market dipped following the largest crypto hack in history. The North Korean hacker group Lazarus, led by FBI-wanted Park Jin Hyok, stole $1.46 billion worth of $ETH from Bybit. Fortunately, Bybit has been managing the situation well, with enough reserves to cover the losses. They are also receiving support from the broader crypto industry, making it likely that this drop will be short-lived and eventually bought up by whales.
Here’s a recap of the past few Fridays👀
- Jan 17 – $TRUMP token launch
- Jan 24 – DeepSeek crash
- Jan 31 – Trump tariff announcement on Canada
- Feb 14 – $LIBRA launch
- Feb 21 – Bybit $1.46B hack
P.S. We're beginning to see a volatility squeeze forming on $BTC, $ETH, $AVAX, $INJ, and several other coins. This pattern often precedes a breakout and a significant shift in direction. If history is any guide, we should see a move in the next few days, as these squeezes typically don’t last long.
@CryptoHelper This isn’t about greed—it’s about adapting our strategy to evolving market conditions and our beliefs about what’s ahead. Right now, the market is behaving unusually, with strong manipulation at play. We've recently deployed a new algorithmic model designed for this environment, but we’re waiting for a broader market bounce before fully implementing it (to avoid selling the bottom).
Our high-altcoin allocation came a bit early, as we expected the "Trump effect" to trigger a stronger rally in altcoins, particularly with hopes of regulatory clarity. While that hasn’t played out as anticipated, we still expect a rotation into altcoins to align with the 4-year cycle, likely beginning in March—first into ETH and large caps, followed by lower caps in Q2-Q3 and cycle peak in Q4.