Innlegg fra Strateger

Crypto Snapshot: Latest News & Trends  

By SYGNAL

📈 Market News:  

• Bitcoin ($BTC) surged above $102,000 following a post-election rally but dropped 10% after strong economic data, raising doubts about a Federal Reserve rate cut. (CNBC) (Forbes)
• XRP ($XRP) rose 5x from $0.52 to $2.46, becoming the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. (Forbes)

📜 Regulatory News:  

• The European Union implemented the Travel Rule under MiCA, requiring crypto-asset service providers to comply by December 30, 2024. (Forbes)

💸 Money Flow:  

• The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) surpassed $50 billion in assets, highlighting significant capital inflows into Bitcoin ($BTC). (CNBC)

🗣️ Crypto Influencers:  

• Arthur Hayes forecasted a major crypto market crash by late March 2025, impacting market sentiment. (Forbes)   
• Elon Musk suggested that his inflation-fighting efforts with Dogecoin ($DOGE) could lower the prices of Bitcoin ($BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies. (Forbes)   

🧠 Other Interesting Info:  

• Nvidia's ($NVDA) stock rally coincided with cryptocurrency price increases, underscoring the growing correlation between tech equities and crypto markets. (Forbes)   

As you can see we have done well, we have broken the previous portfolio highs, while the hypothetical index has not done so yet.

We just need the right opportunity and the right risk environment to beat the market, we are waiting for it.😀

◾ This is a hypothetical index for investing $1000 in the infrastructure applications sector.in the recent re-balancing.

14.15*COINBASE:RNDRUSD+160.09*COINBASE:FETUSD+550.04*COINBASE:GRTUSD+33.27*BINANCE:THETAUSD+1487*COINBASE:JASMYUSD+7.66*BINANCE:ARUSD

◾ This is a hypothetical index for investing $1000 in the blockchain infrastructure sector,in the recent re-balancing.

5.60*COINBASE:AVAXUSD+28.43*COINBASE:NEARUSD+16.65*COINBASE:ICPUSD+5.51*COINBASE:INJUSD+0.59*BINANCE:EGLDUSD+107.90*COINBASE:ROSEUSD

As you can see the momentum signals are good at the portfolio level so far (the most stable signal), while the trend signal is negative (more sensitive to market conditions), this tells us that the explosion is coming, and we are near the end of the deep correction, we just need to be more patient for that and bear a little pain, it happened in February last year.

Ethereum Loses Ground - DIGITAL VISION SPECIAL

Our publication covering the state of Ethereum, is now out.

A number of investors have questioned our reluctance to hold ETH in our investment strategies, despite it being the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap by some distance.

In this article, we outline the reasons why ETH has underperformed, why the outlook continues to concern us and why we believe there are more attractive opportunities elsewhere.

Summary

🥊Shifting Demand Dynamics: The competitive landscape for Ethereum has transformed significantly.

🛣️Technological and Roadmap Challenges: Delays in roadmap promises hinder progress.

📉Evolving Network Metrics: Ethereum's transaction fees and staking yields have declined sharply.

⏳ETF-Driven Price Dynamics: Recent inflows from ETH ETFs have bolstered demand and price, temporarily.

https://bagster.substack.com/p/state-of-ethereum-digital-vision

📢 We have warning signs of money moving towards Gold and cash.

For the third time since December 9th.

This decline is supported by monetary policy as it was a year ago.

The difference is that we are prepared for the unexpected.🔥

We did a portfolio assessment this morning (no change), making changes would make you lose the ability to recover, we mentioned before that you should accept this correction with an open heart and it is not over yet.

We conduct regular reviews every day and will choose the optimal time to make the change.🤝

Total Market Cap = TOTAL

Top10 = (TOTAL-OTHERS)

Total Market Cap ex-Top10 = OTHERS

Top10 to Total Market Cap ex-Top10 ratio = (TOTAL-OTHERS)/OTHERS

Total Market Cap to Gold ratio = TOTAL/GOLD

Top10 To Gold ratio = (TOTAL-OTHERS)/GOLD

Total Market Cap ex-Top10 to Gold ratio = OTHERS/GOLD

◾You should know that not all signals will be correct, but we are committed to our own trading system, because it will be successful in the long term.

◾We hope this does not create panic for you, our trading system is different from yours.

Read about the law of large numbers!

US GOVERNMENT SELLS 6.5 BILLION BTC? THE PANIC IS EXAGGERATED!

1️⃣ BTC MARKET IS HUGE:

In 2024, over 379 billion dollars have been invested in Bitcoin.

A sale of 6.5 billion could easily be absorbed in a few days without major problems.

2️⃣ THE NEWS WAS ALREADY ON THE MARKET:

After the announcement, Bitcoin only dropped by about $1,000, and the price quickly stabilized. Most likely, the big players already knew, and the drop from $102,000 to $95,000 was an advance adjustment.

3️⃣ WILL SELL OTC OR AT ALL, NOT ON EXCHANGES:

Unlike others (eg the German government), the US government will most likely sell BTC through OTC (over-the-counter) transactions, reducing the risk of a massive fall in stock markets. Or it won't sell at all given that it's not long until Trump comes to the white house.

4️⃣ MARKET SENTIMENT REMAINS POSITIVE:

Despite the news about the sale, the Crypto Fear & Greed index indicates a state of "Greed" in the market, which suggests that investors remain optimistic.

⬇️CONCLUSION:

The $6.5 billion sale of about 65,000 BTC will not have a major impact. Instead, retail panics and sells low, only to buy more expensive later.

Be patient, think strategically and try to pay attention to the context, not the fear (FUD)!

Still no major liquidity from M2 and QE. This means altcoins still are having a difficult time going forward. We hold our positions during these turbulent moments.

In 2024, Bitcoin often bottomed or topped during the first week of the month, followed by a significant move in the opposite direction.

• July - November: Downside during the first few days, followed by upside for the rest of the month.

• June: The exception, with price rising first before declining for the rest of the month.

• December: Mostly sideways chop, breaking the trend.

• January 2025: A rise at the start of the month with a local top on the 7th, followed by a new monthly low on the 8th—so far, a choppy and indecisive start.

This trend has been useful to track, as it helped identify dip-buying opportunities in September, October, and November. However, the new year often brings new dynamics, and December already broke the trend, suggesting caution before relying on it too heavily in 2025.

Monitoring repeated patterns can be valuable for decision-making, but as always, flexibility and adaptation to the evolving market are crucial. Let’s see how this plays out in the months ahead.

🚀 Daily Crypto Signals 🚀

Here are SYGNAL's latest, short-term trend-following signals for the top 5 cryptos:

📅 Date: 2025-01-09

📈 $BTC : Bullish (0.54)  

📈 $ETH : Neutral (0.08)  

📈 $XRP : Max Bullish (1.00)  

📈 $BNB : Max Bullish (0.85)  

📉 $SOL : Neutral (-0.08)  

Our signals are generated daily to help you make informed trading decisions.

This material by SYGNAL is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to buy cryptocurrencies; past performance does not guarantee future results.

200 Week Moving Average Heatmap show us also that $BTC made a TOP when red bubles are there or at least yellow. and the signal that the top is near start when at least ''green'' is there.

as we can see we are now in the ''blue'' zone and still space to go up.

#bitcoin

Crypto Market Pulse 👀

• We are seeing a lot of panic in the market😱
• US government got approval to sell seized $BTC from Silk Road 🤔
• There are rumors that they will sell it before Trump takes over🤦‍♂️
• There are also rumors that they have already sold it 👀
• Not sure what's true but this seems like a nice opportunity😉
• El Salvador and other believers are buying more on this dip👌

Side note: When the German government sold its $BTC holdings, the price surged from 55k to 105k with virtually no pullback. If these current sell-off rumors are accurate, we may witness a similar rally once the selling concludes. Even more significantly, if sold ,Trump is expected to repurchase it as soon as he takes office!