Post 1/2
Despite very few updates from our side we are still active. The reason for the lack of new posts is that we are just sticking to our thesis that we have formed prior to the start of the bull market. Our conviction has been that there will be an alt coin season, which may or may not be true, only time will tell. However, we do believe that the time is at least somewhat running out. In our view we are in the last leg of the bull cycle and it will be a determining factor of how we will look back on this bull market.
There are multiple possible outcomes in our view. Either we get an alt coin season as we are expecting, similar to previous bull runs or there will be a huge disappointment in terms of how this bull run played out. Basically, if you are not one of the few people who have had a large majority of their holdings in a few coins such as $BTC, $XRP, $SOL, $BNB, $SUI, etc., then there is a good chance that you are either very far from your all time high in this bull run or even in the red, depending on when you have purchased your coins.
With this being said, we do realize that our holdings have been underperforming, because our thesis – at least so far – has been incorrect. The problem is that there are so many new token launches and meme coins that spread the liquidity between them, then there’s always “shiny new coins” that the liquidity goes to and the older projects or even projects that are actually building real products get left behind and forgotten. The latest offenders are $TRUMP and $MELANIA, which we see as a net negative for crypto markets in general, because they are just draining retail liquidity to the hands of the few and that liquidity most likely never returns to the market.
This is the reality.