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Post 2/2

We will need huge amounts of liquidity for the alt season to properly start, multiples compared to previous bull runs, and even then it will be important where this liquidity flows. The problem in the end are the investors themselves, because they are impatient and want 100x or even 1000x returns over night instead of trying to grow their portfolios incrementally and that's why at least so far the liquidity has not flowed into major alt coins.

If anyone tells you at this point that they know where the market will go they are either lying on purpose or are overconfident in their truth. We can just try to predict, we cannot know, but in our view we have a few months left for the alt season to play out, before the period of low summer liquidity kicks in. If there will be an alt season we think it either happens in Q1/start of Q2 or towards the end of the year in late Q3/Q4. A lot depends on Jerome Powell’s speeches (one is happening tomorrow) and how traditional markets will react, we do not see a scenario where traditional markets go down and crypto markets go up.

There has been a lot of different talks, from pro-crypto administration in the US to the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, ETF for $ETH staking and so on. The big picture has been the same when we zoom out, the global liquidity is still increasing and will continue to at least for the next few months, after that it is a bit more blurry, because the FED has already started reducing their balance sheet, but liquidity is coming from other sources.

As stated multiple times, we still believe in alt season, that is why we have not rebalanced our portfolio a lot, we still believe in $INJ the most, but only time will tell where we will end up. We will be switching $RUNE to $LDO, because Thorchain’s future is somewhat unclear at this moment and if $ETH staking ETF will happen then $LDO should perform well in theory.

We are keeping track on what is going on in the market on a daily basis, but as stated in the posts from the past, until our thesis changes we will not be making any major changes to the portfolio and are staying hopeful for the potential alt season.

First of all, we are big believers of $RUNE. It is a great project.

Nevertheless we decided to liquidate our position on this bounce.

It lost trust and when we invest in altcoins, we need to pick alts with a strong relative performance.

Projects like $AAVE and $XRP didn't perform very well in the 2021 bull but they are clear outperformers right now.

$RUNE and $INJ were the cryptostars of 2021 but now they look weaker. The same is true for $ETH , but we consider it a long term buy and hold.

We added the proceeds to $BONK, $ETH , $LINK, $INJ and $SOL.

🚨Rebalance Alert🚨

After closely following the conversations in Davos and assessing new insights from the past two days, we’ve decided to slightly boost our exposure to projects focusing on tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). We are increasing our $LINK and $AVAX holdings✅

Both projects are also U.S.-based, which aligns with our view that regulatory progress in the US and potential ETF approvals for lower-cap coins could further drive their appreciation.

P.S. $LINK, $AVAX, $SOL, $NEAR and $INJ  are all U.S.-based projects, meaning we currently hold over 50% of our positions in U.S.-coins👀

Crypto Market Pulse 👀

• SEC Chair Gary Gensler has officially resigned👏
• Circle’s CEO suggests that Trump will soon sign an executive order easing bank ownership of digital assets🤔
• We’ve recorded one of the largest $USDC inflows to exchanges as whales gear up for the next rally🤑
• Bears are already celebrating less than 24 hours after the inauguration, claiming it was a “sell the news” event🤦‍♂️
• ETFs didn’t trade, so we haven’t seen the “Trump effect” just yet😉

Meanwhile, Trump’s company, World Liberty Finance, continues buying altcoins, and even launched its own coin—an extremely bullish signal for altcoins. This hints at impending regulatory clarity, and many don’t realize it could trigger one of the biggest altseasons we’ve ever seen.

Coingecko also introduced a U.S. coin list, anticipating outperformance in the coming months. Notably,$SOL, $AVAX, and $INJ made the list, putting us in a strong position to capitalize on this trend if it takes off. Overall, the new era of crypto is here—buckle up!🚀

Allts look still very strong and $BTC is holding 100k more and more as a support. Fresh new ATH's around the corner.

We expect the relative strong ones of previous bulls to outperform once more. $AAVE could break out into new ATH's as well en 1000usd is far from impossible in a strong upleg.

$SOL made a double top around its previous ATH. Once it breaks higher, we will be at 500 usd fast.

$INJ could easyly reach 100usd in an alt bull run.

And $XRP seems far from finished. 10 usd seems possible.