Diversitas

Crypto Market Pulse 👀

• The panic over tariffs was likely exaggerated 🤔
• The U.S. Reverse Repo Facility injected $400 billion into the system🤑
• China announced a $69 billion injection into its four biggest banks for a "capital boost"💰
• Both crypto and the stock market have started to bounce back up ✅
• The U.S. trade policy uncertainty index has hit unprecedented levels 😱
• While some volatility is still expected, we believe the worst may be behind us 👀

Meanwhile industry developments signal strength:

• Strategy acquired 22,048 $BTC for ~$1.92 billion💪
• Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges has dropped to just 7.53%, the lowest since February 2018👀
• The Bitcoin Policy Institute has proposed a framework for the U.S. to acquire $200B in BTC using 'Bit Bonds'🤔
• Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, in his annual letter: “The dollar is at risk of losing its reserve status to Bitcoin.”🚀
• $LINK Payment Abstraction is now live on mainnet, unlocking new possibilities for on-chain transactions🔥

1. Market Overview

Both crypto and traditional markets faced significant pressure this week as investors braced for the impact of new tariffs set to take effect on April 2nd. Trade tensions and inflation concerns weighed heavily on risk assets, keeping sentiment cautious across the board.

Meanwhile, GameStop made headlines with its decision to raise capital for Bitcoin purchases, following the path of MicroStrategy. This marks yet another major corporate move into BTC, further solidifying its role as a treasury asset and reinforcing the growing institutional adoption of digital assets.

Beyond crypto, macroeconomic volatility intensified as U.S. stocks suffered a massive $1.25 trillion wipeout on Friday amid rising economic uncertainty. While the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and signaled two rate cuts later in 2025, concerns over inflation and trade policies continued to keep investors on edge.

That said, in our view, markets appear to be pricing in worst-case outcomes. With the Federal Reserve set to slow down quantitative tightening (QT) starting April 1st and interest rates already at elevated levels, there is significant room for policy easing if needed to stimulate the economy.

2. ETF Flows

Despite market volatility, Bitcoin ETFs continued to see positive inflows, while Ethereum outflows remained minimal. This suggests that most of the selling pressure has already been exhausted—a constructive sign that could indicate a potential trend reversal🤔

$BTC ETFs Weekly Flow: +$196,4 million

$ETH ETFs Weekly Flow: -$8,7 million

3. On-Chain Data

• Coinbase Premium: Hovering near zero✅
• Exchange Reserves: Reached new lows✅
• MVRV Ratio: 1.88 (Cycle Top Above 3.7)
• Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL): 47 (Cycle Top Above 75)✅
• Open Interest: Low✅
• Funding Rates: Negative✅
• CMC Fear and Greed Index: 24 (Fear)✅

More importantly, the average daily realized losses by short-term holders (STH) on exchanges have dropped tenfold. This suggests that fewer investors are willing to sell at a loss, indicating that the short-term capitulation phase may be coming to an end at current price levels🤔

4. Top Weekly News

GameStop follows Strategy’s lead with bitcoin acquisition plan, $1.3 billion note offering

https://www.theblock.co/post/348341/gamestop-follows-strategys-lead-with-bitcoin-acquisition-plan-1-3-billion-note-offering

Crypto trading volumes plunge 70% from the peak as post-election hype fades

https://www.theblock.co/post/348685/crypto-trading-volumes-plunge-70-from-the-peak-as-post-election-hype-fades

Crypto markets slump as latest US inflation data weighs on sentiment

https://www.theblock.co/post/348680/crypto-markets-slump-as-latest-us-inflation-data-weighs-on-sentiment

Nasdaq files 19b-4 with SEC to list and trade shares of Grayscale's proposed Avalanche ETF

https://www.theblock.co/post/348638/nasdaq-files-19b-4-with-sec-to-list-and-trade-shares-of-grayscales-proposed-avalanche-etf