Let's break down the shifts in sentiment, fear, uncertainty, and the lure of quick profits in the crypto market. Just a quick thought after the recent market movements before and after the halving.
The fear and greed indicator doesn't tell us much about trends and price action, but it somewhat well shows a quick change in the market's sentiment. Just three days ago, fear was dominant, at 43 index points, $BTC dropped to $57k. Today, it's greed, at 71 index points, that's 28 index points for you. Remember when we hit all-time highs? People claimed, "This time it's different," citing ETFs as the new big thing that will turn around the whole market and kill traditional TA assumptions. But it wasn't.
Recently, we hit new local lows in BTC trading. Many expected this and many indicators very told us the market is short-term bottoming. Again, people panicked, there was FUD everywhere, predicting further drops, even to low $16k for $BTC saying: "This time it's different". But, as usual, it wasn't different.
So, what's the lesson and what can we learn from this part of a cycle that historically should be bullish? Crypto history doesn't repeat exactly the same, but it usually rhymes. Fundamentals stay consistent over time, and TA is still a very important factor when monitoring the market. Sentiment shifts like the wind, so don't get shaken off too easily. Stick to your plan, ignore fear (FUD), and resist the urge to chase quick gains (FOMO). Stay true to yourself and your strategy and you will be just fine.
And one thing, don't sell at a loss.