Posty od Strategów

Crypto sentiment is holding steady in bearish territory. ❄️

SYGNAL’s latest AI reading clocks in at -0.35 — slightly worse than last week, but a touch better than yesterday. The overall 7-day trend? Still falling. 📉

With uncertainty in the air, it's a time to stay sharp.

Follow sentiment on $BTC and $ETH to get ahead of the next move.

Markets may have moved past peak U.S. tariff policy uncertainty, but volatility remains, according to a Nansen report. Aurelie Barthere, Principal Research Analyst at Nansen, suggests recent U.S. tariff negotiations are a factor.

Bitcoin demonstrates resilience during market downturns, according to Wintermute, even as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit year lows. Bitcoin's stability is attributed to growing institutional interest. The CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, while the PPI increased 2.7% in March.

Bitcoin is being considered as a safe-haven asset amid trade tensions, showing resilience compared to traditional assets during events like the 2018-19 US-China trade war and the April 2025 market crash. Factors contributing to Bitcoin's strength include institutional adoption and its appeal as a non-sovereign, portable hedge.

Declining Exchange Reserves and Increasing Long-Term HoldingsAccording to CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, several important on-chain metrics support the current stability of the market. One of the most significant data is that the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges is continuously decreasing - this level was last low in 2018. There are currently about 2.43 million BTC on exchanges, compared to 3.4 million at the peak of the 2021 bull market.

This trend suggests that more investors are choosing long-term holdings, which narrows the supply available on the market, which could lead to an increase in the price.

“This is an example of what not to do”Interestingly, Schiff launched his own “strategic reserve” on March 8th, where he is seeking donations from the crypto community. The reserve currently holds just 0.055 BTC (worth about $4,600), and Schiff says this is intentional: “I haven’t sold anything. I’m letting the reserve collapse to set an example of what not to do.”

He has previously said that he believes the price of Bitcoin could fall to $10,000.

Peter Schiff, the well-known financial commentator known to many as “Dr. Doom,” has made another alarming statement. Schiff, who made his name by accurately predicting the 2008 financial crash, is now urging investors to sell all their Bitcoin and invest in gold mining stocks instead.

Gold hits new high, Bitcoin weakensSchiff says Bitcoin is “the epitome of risk assets” and is currently on a downward trend, while gold is hitting new all-time highs. The price of gold hit a new record high of $3,291 on Tuesday. In contrast, Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,445 on the Bitstamp exchange, and there are fears that the market in the United States could weaken further.

The US stock market is not doing well either: S&P 500 futures fell 1.5% amid tariff war concerns.

🚀 Daily Crypto Signals 🚀

Here are SYGNAL's latest, short-term trend-following signals for the top 5 cryptos:

Date: April 16, 2025

📉 $BTC : Bearish (-0.538462)

📉 $ETH : Max Bearish (-1.0)

📉 $XRP : Max Bearish (-1.0)

📉 $SOL : Bearish (-0.692308)

📉 $BNB : Max Bearish (-1.0)

Our signals are generated daily to help you make informed trading decisions.

This material by SYGNAL is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to buy cryptocurrencies; past performance does not guarantee future results.

Crypto Market Pulse 👀

Bitcoin continues to mirror traditional markets, with correlations to the S&P 500, Dow, and Russell 2000 all surging above 0.75 since Trump’s trade war headlines first rattled markets in March. The macro environment is still setting the tone for price action, and today’s headlines only reinforced that link🤦‍♂️

Nvidia added fuel to the fire, announcing the U.S. government has indefinitely blocked sales of its H20 chips to China — a move expected to wipe $5.5 billion off its Q1 earnings. The stock dropped over 5% on the news, underscoring how fragile sentiment remains around tech sector😱

Meanwhile, the White House says Trump is “open to a deal” with China, offering a potential off-ramp to ease tensions — though markets are still waiting for something concrete⌛

On the crypto front, the mood is more constructive. Semler Scientific is doubling down on Bitcoin exposure, filing to raise $500 million for more BTC purchases. ETF flows have also turned positive again, with BlackRock leading the way — a strong sign that institutional appetite is still alive beneath the surface💪

Finally, futures data shows bulls are quietly but firmly regaining control. Since April 11, Binance Futures have been dominated by aggressive buyers, with sellers struggling to push back🤔

Despite the short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s underlying demand remains strong. For altcoins to truly gain momentum, we believe Ethereum needs to break out first — so we’re holding off on increasing our ETH and altcoin exposure for now. If that breakout doesn’t come sooner, a relief rally is likely on the horizon in May, when FTX is expected to distribute the remaining funds to its creditors👀

Stablecoin Insights

The stablecoin market is undergoing a transformation, entering a third phase marked by increased regulatory scrutiny. Companies like Tether, the issuer of USDT, and Circle, known for USDC and EURC, are solidifying their positions as industry leaders. This shift is influenced by upcoming regulations such as the European Union’s Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) and ongoing legislative efforts in the U.S.

Banks are increasingly considering integrating stablecoins into their operations, recognizing their potential beyond speculative assets. Stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value relative to a traditional asset like the U.S. dollar or Euro, facilitate the movement of funds between cryptocurrencies and play a crucial role in decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems. This integration could reshape banking by providing efficient and transparent transaction methods.

Recent data shows Circle's EURC supply reaching an all-time high, driven by European traders seeking Euro-backed stablecoins. Experts predict substantial market growth, estimating the stablecoin market could reach $2 trillion by the end of 2028. This evolution highlights the growing importance of stablecoins in the financial landscape.

Ethereum Faces Consolidation as Bulls Eye Key Resistance

Ethereum continues to trade within a narrow range near $1,636, with signs of consolidation emerging after recovering from a local dip. The RSI has climbed to 56.53, slightly above neutral, suggesting mild bullish momentum but no clear breakout. Volume remains relatively stable, with 24H trading volume hovering around $183 million, reinforcing the subdued volatility.

While Ether remains above short-term support near $1,600, bulls have yet to build strong momentum toward key resistance levels at $1,754 and $2,111. The current setup, with RSI trending flat and no decisive price action, reflects hesitation among both buyers and sellers.

Overall, Ethereum’s near-term trend remains neutral, with potential upside if volume increases and RSI breaks into overbought territory. A move below $1,600 could signal renewed bearish pressure, while reclaiming $1,754 would open the door for a broader recovery. For now, the market appears to be waiting for a clearer macro or technical trigger to define direction.

Bitcoin Holder Metrics Show Resilience Amid Market Uncertainty

Despite recent price stagnation, Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics remain largely supportive of a continued bullish outlook. As seen in the token summary data, 87% of Bitcoin holders are currently in profit, with only 10% out of the money, a strong sign of resilience following months of volatility.

Holders are also demonstrating long-term conviction, with 74% of addresses holding BTC for over a year. This suggests that the bulk of Bitcoin’s supply is in strong hands, reducing the likelihood of panic selling during market drawdowns. The holder time share data highlights a maturing investor base focused on long-term value.

Interestingly, while concentration by large holders remains relatively low at 12%, transaction volumes from large wallets over the past week still total over $132 billion, indicating strong institutional activity. However, the net outflows of $464.68 million in the same timeframe reflect a slight decline in capital inflow, which could signal cautious sentiment.

On-chain signals such as transaction volume, and concentration metrics are all flashing green, supporting a “Mostly Bullish” market summary despite broader macroeconomic uncertainties. While short-term volatility remains possible, the overall trend suggests investor confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term strength.