Diversitas

Crypto Market Pulse 👀

• We continue to see positive Coinbase Premium👀
• Yesterday, ETFs bought 381.3 million worth of $BTC💰
• Strategy acquired 6,556 $BTC for ~$555.8 million💸
• Metaplanet bought 330 more $BTC for $28 million🤑
• $BTC finally started to decouple from equities👀

With our algorithm now flashing bullish signals for $BTC and $SOL, we’ve decided to make a minor strategy adjustment — reducing our $ETH exposure slightly and reallocating towards $BTC and $SOL. Once the rest of our holdings break above the new trackline and start printing green dots, we’ll look to reduce $BTC exposure and rotate more aggressively into lower-cap coins!

1. Market Overview

Markets remain stuck in a tight range this week, still weighed down by the lingering uncertainty around Trump’s trade war. The risk-off mood has kept price action muted, but there are early signs of progress as the U.S. and China have finally reopened dialogue — a step in the right direction that could ease tensions and unlock some relief for both equities and crypto.

At the same time, the conversation is shifting back to the Fed, as more voices on Wall Street question whether policymakers are once again "late to the party" on rate cuts. As Bank of America pointed out this week:

"The Fed cut 50bps in September when the stock market was at record highs and Atlanta Fed was forecasting +3% US GDP growth; now the Fed appears determined not to cut rates, even after a 20% market plunge, while the Atlanta Fed is forecasting -3% GDP growth."

This growing disconnect between economic reality and policy is adding another layer of tension — but also sets the stage for a potentially sharp market reaction once the Fed moves👀

2. ETF Flows

This week’s ETF flows were fairly muted, reflecting the broader market indecision. Bitcoin ETFs managed to stay in positive territory with $13.7 million in inflows, showing steady demand despite the choppy price action. On the other hand, Ethereum ETFs saw $32.3 million in outflows, suggesting that some investors are still rotating away from ETH or waiting for clearer catalysts before adding exposure. Overall, a quiet but telling week as the market continues to digest macro uncertainty🤔

• BTC ETFs: +$13,7 million
• ETH ETFs: -$32,3 million

3. On-Chain Data

• Coinbase Premium: Positive✅
• Exchange Reserves: Low✅
• MVRV Ratio: 1.93 (Cycle Top Above 3.7)✅
• Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL): 48 (Cycle Top Above 75)✅
• Open Interest: Low✅
• Funding Rates: Low✅
• CMC Fear and Greed Index: 34 (Fear)✅

Meanwhile, Bitcoin wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 $BTC — now control 67.77% of the total supply. Despite the recent market swings in April, these wallets have stayed in accumulation mode, adding more than 53,600 BTC since March 22nd. A strong sign of confidence from the smart money!👀

4. Top Weekly News

Arizona leads crypto reserve legislation race as SB 1373 passes House committee

https://www.theblock.co/post/351240/arizona-leads-crypto-reserve-legislation-race-as-sb-1373-passes-house-committee

Fed chair hints at easing crypto rules for banks as Trump says Powell's termination 'cannot come fast enough

https://www.theblock.co/post/351205/the-daily-fed-chair-hints-at-easing-crypto-rules-for-banks-as-trump-says-powells-termination-cannot-come-fast-enough-and-more

Semler Scientific files $500 million offering to buy more bitcoin amid DOJ settlement

https://www.theblock.co/post/350934/semler-scientific-files-500-million-offering-to-buy-more-bitcoin-amid-doj-settlement

BIS report calls for 'containment' of crypto risks as TradFi connections deepen, sparking criticism

https://www.theblock.co/post/351305/bis-report-calls-for-containment-of-crypto-risks-as-tradfi-connections-deepen-sparking-criticism